Course Content
External Strategic Analysis
External Analysis, PEST, Porter’s Approach to Industry Analysis
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Business Portfolio Analysis
Business Portfolio Analysis - BCG, GE Business Model, Ansoff’s Product Market Growth Matrix
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Unit VI: Strategic Management

📘 PEST Analysis: Francis Aguilar: 1967

I. Introduction

Francis Aguilar

  1. PEST analysis was developed by Harvard University Professor Francis Aguilar in 1967.
  2. Originally termed “ETPS” (Economic, Technical, Political, and Social), it was introduced in his book, Scanning the Business Environment, as a framework for analyzing macro-environmental factors in strategic management.
  3. PEST Analysis is a strategic tool used by businesses to analyze the external macro-environment in which they operate.
  4. It stands for Political, Economic, Social, and Technological factors, which are the four main categories of external influences that can affect a company’s performance.

🧩 II. The Four Factors of PEST

Factor Description Example
Political Government policies, regulations, political stability Tax incentives for green tech, tariffs on imports
Economic Economic conditions, inflation, interest rates, consumer spending Recession reducing consumer spending, rising energy prices
Social Demographic shifts, consumer preferences, social trends Health trends, aging population
Technological Technological advancements, innovation, automation AI, blockchain, e-commerce, renewable energy tech

📊 III. How to Use PEST Analysis?

The steps of PEST analysis are typically carried out in a systematic order to ensure that the external environmental factors are understood and their impact on the organization is analyzed properly. The correct sequence is:

 

A. Understand a category’s relevant trends – The first step is identifying the key trends in Political, Economic, Social, and Technological factors that could affect the organization.

B. Understand trends interdependencies – Next, examine how these trends are related and how they might influence each other.

B. Distill lively issues from the identified trends – From the trends, pinpoint the most critical or pressing issues that need attention.

D. Forecast the direction of issues – Predict how these issues may evolve or change over time.

E. Derive implications for the organization – Finally, understand the consequences of these trends and issues for the organization and strategize accordingly.